Przegląd chińskiego rynku tytanu w 2024: Turbulentny rok z przedwczesnym wyzwaniami

2024 was a challenging year for China’s titanium market, kształtowane przez kryzys gospodarczy, słabe popyt krajowy, Międzynarodowe napięcia handlowe, i nadmiarowość w branży. Pomimo zwiększonej produkcji w wysokim tytanowym żużlu, Dwutlenek tytanu, I gąbka tytanowa, Ceny rynkowe nie spełniają oczekiwań, Wywieranie presji dla firm w całym sektorze.

Wysoka tytanowa żużla: Volatility and Production Halts

The price of high titanium slag continued its downward trend into 2024, with slight rebounds in May and November. Jednakże, the annual average price fell by ¥1,250/ton compared to 2023. Production was heavily affected, particularly in northern China, where over half of the 20+ operating slag factories halted production by year-end. In November alone, up to 90% of factories ceased operations, a stark contrast to previous years when major producers ramped up activity in December.

Gąbka Tytan: Record Output Amidst Losses

While sponge titanium production reached a historic high, prices plummeted to record lows after initial increases in February and March. The persistent price drop led to widespread losses across the industry. By November, there was a slight recovery, but profitability remained a challenge for most producers.

Dwutlenek tytanu: Margins Under Pressure

The average price of titanium dioxide in 2024 was slightly lower than in 2023. Prices rose briefly in the first quarter but then declined steadily, pushing many enterprises to the brink of profitability. Even state-owned enterprises faced severe financial difficulties, with suppliers bearing significant losses.

Raw Titanium Ore: Mixed Trends in Prices

The cost of raw titanium ore remained elevated in 2024. Sulfate-process titanium ore from Panzhihua and smaller mines saw an annual average price increase of ¥50/ton compared to 2023. In contrast, chloride-process titanium ore experienced a decline of $40/ton year-over-year.
Factors Driving Sulfate-Process Titanium Ore Prices:

1. Increased Demand: Newly added production capacity for sulfate-process titanium dioxide contributed to a 120-million-ton increase in titanium ore demand.
2. Impact of Iron Ore Market: A sluggish iron ore market affected titanium ore production, with large producers in Panzhihua tightening raw material supplies.
3. Higher Import Volumes: Imports of Australian, Nigerian, and Egyptian titanium ore increased, driven by acquisitions and shifts in demand.
4. Market Concentration: The concentrated nature of titanium ore suppliers ensured relative price stability.

Reasons Behind Chloride-Process Titanium Ore Price Decline:

1. Weaker Demand: Prices for downstream products such as sponge titanium, Dwutlenek tytanu, and artificial rutile declined.
2. Reduced Shipping Costs: Lower freight rates and favorable exchange rate fluctuations reduced costs.
3. International Supply Shifts: Declining production from international chloride-process titanium dioxide plants and increased imports of natural rutile to China reduced demand for chloride ores.

2025 Outlook: Overcapacity and Intensified Competition

The challenges of overcapacity will persist in 2025, with significant new mineral processing capacities set to come online. Increased domestic production in Chengde and Xinjiang, coupled with growing imports of natural rutile, will intensify market competition. Dodatkowo, new titanium dioxide production facilities will further strain the supply-demand balance.

The titanium industry must navigate an increasingly competitive landscape while addressing high raw material costs and weakening downstream markets. Companies that adapt swiftly and innovate will be better positioned to weather the challenges ahead.